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Newsday (USA)The Economist (UK), February
12, 2005
EDITORIAL: Show
us the money; Aid, debt and development
Credible policies
and hard cash, not accounting trickery, are
needed in the fight against poverty
IF SAYING the right thing were all that mattered,
this year of "making poverty history"
could already be declared a triumph. The corporate
bosses, political leaders and assorted celebrity
do-gooders gathered last month in Davos talked
of little else but their ideas to help the
poor. Yet what really matters is not words
but action. This year, policymakers will have
opportunities a-plenty to do the right things
at several high-level meetingsthe G8
summit in July, a special assembly of the United
Nations in September to discuss progress towards
the Millennium Development Goals (which include
halving the proportion of the world's population
in extreme poverty by 2015) and the World Trade
Organisation gathering in December.
For an early clue to whether these meetings will
deliver the goods, all eyes were on last weekend's
gathering of the G7 finance ministers (see
page 75). An upbeat communiqué was duly
issued, pledging more aid, more debt relief
for poor countries and freer trade. Yet behind
the headline pledges was a tangle of disagreements
over how much more aid and debt relief to provide,
how to pay for it and how to deliver it. True,
the meeting was primarily intended to set a
bold agenda, which it did. Even so, these disagreements
will not be easily resolved.
Consider, for instance, the promise in the communiqué
to provide "as much as 100% relief"
on the debts of the world's poorest countries
to the IMF, the World Bank and other multilateral
lenders. The words "as much as" cover
a multitude of views on debt relief, from those
such as Britain's and America'skeen on
100% relief in the right circumstancesto
that of Japan, which questions the usefulness
of any debt relief.
On balance, it is to be hoped that Japan will
come to agree with Britain and America on this
issue, as debt relief, when it works well,
can be the best form of financial assistance.
It puts more money in the hands of the recipient
country, so it can take charge of its own development.
Yet for that very reason, debt relief can also
be a perversely efficient way of rewarding
the worst sorts of poor-country governments,
which may use their improved cash flow only
to develop the president's Swiss bank account.
Thus, debt relief should be given only when
the government receiving it is likely to put
it to good use. That has been the aim of the
heavily-indebted poor country (HIPC) initiative,
which may now be extendedthough HIPC
relief has a mixed record in practice, in part
because the need for donors to be tough has
often been trumped by their wish to appear
generous.
When a government cannot be relied upon to use
debt relief well, aid focused on specific goals
is a better use of foreign money. Britain's
promise to buy vaccines against HIV/AIDS and
malaria for distribution in poor countries,
which it hopes will provide the financial carrot
necessary to get drug firms to develop them,
is a potentially excellent use of an aid budget.
Arguably the most worrying dispute among rich
countries is over how to pay for the war on
poverty. As well as the familiar techniques
of unfunded pledges and redirecting existing
aid flows, gimmicks have been proposed, such
as a "Tobin tax" on international
financial transactions (unworkable) and a tax
on aviation fuel or air tickets (which could
work, and can be justified on environmental
grounds, but has no link to poverty). More
ominously, some G7 finance ministers seem tempted
by various "off-balance-sheet" financing
schemes, the sort of trickery notoriously associated
with Enron. The IMF, say, might pay for the
cancellation of debts by revaluing or selling
its gold reservesthis could conveniently
avoid counting the cancelled debt as public
spending.
Another off-balance-sheet manoeuvre is the International
Financing Facility (IFF) championed by Gordon
Brown, Britain's chancellor of the exchequer.
This would let governments borrow against their
own future aid budgets without counting such
borrowing in their public accounts. The IFF's
borrowing would be treated as only a contingent
liability of the governments concerned (a technicality
that should make IFF debt more expensive than
straightforward government debt).
Is such trickery ever desirable, even to help
the poor? And is it even necessary? Surely
the public response in rich countries after
the Asian tsunami demonstrated that, when people
believe their money will be well spent on relieving
misery, they are ready to be extremely generous.
This year, politicians should instead use their
creativity to come up with credible policies
for reducing poverty confident that, if they
do so, their voters will not need to be deceived
into paying the bill.
<< The Economist -- 2/12/05 >>
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