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The Guardian (London), June 8,
2005
Broken Promises
Leave Three Million Children to Die in Africa
As Blair and Bush close in on
deal over debt, UN report reveals human cost
Author : Larry Elliot and Patrick Wintour
DATELINE: Washington
Three million children will die in the poorest
countries of sub-Saharan Africa as a result
of the failure of the global community to meet
its promise of slashing the death rates of
the under-fives by 2015, the UN will reveal
tomorrow.
The grim figure emerged as George Bush paved
the way for a landmark deal on lifting the
huge debt burden on Africa's poorest countries
when he announced that the US will stump up
extra cash that in the long term will cancel
$15bn (about £8.2bn) of accumulated debt.
Following talks with Tony Blair in Washington,
he also said he would do more on aid, but did
not set out a specific figure. The UK is looking
for an initial $25bn boost from across the
G8 industrialised nations and the EU.
A study by the UN development programme, timed
to put pressure on G8 leaders ahead of the
summit at Gleneagles next month, showed that
on current trends, the global community will
miss by a wide margin the targets it set for
poverty, infant mortality and education in
the millennium development goals agreed by
the UN in 2000.
"These numbers should serve as a wake-up
call for G8 leaders," said Kevin Watkins,
director of the UN's human development report
office. "Africa cannot afford to see the
world's richest countries sleepwalk their way
to a heavily signposted human development disaster."
In 2000 the UN said that by 2015 it would cut
infant mortality by two-thirds, halve the number
of people living on less than a dollar a day,
and put every child in school.
On current UNDP projections, there will be 5
million under-five deaths in Africa, compared
with 2 million if the goals were achieved;
115 million children deprived of an education;
and 219 million extra people living below the
poverty line.
President Bush's officials said that following
the talks they believed he would provide more
aid, possibly targeted at specific projects
such as girls' education, water sanitation,
malaria and peacekeeping.
The outline deal on debt requires further consultation
with the Germans and some other EU finance
ministers and it was accepted by British officials
that most of the progress had been made on
the cancellation of multilateral debt to the
World Bank, rather than the International Monetary
Fund.
President Bush disappointed environmentalists
at the press conference by implying he did
not see the scientific case of manmade climate
change as being unanswerable. Mr Blair wants
to make climate change alongside Africa the
big theme of his G8 summit.
President Bush said of climate change: "We
need to know more about it. It is easier to
solve a problem when you know a lot about it."
But the Washington trip will be remembered for
the progress Mr Blair made on debt cancellation
and the assertion by President Bush that lifting
Africa from poverty "is a central goal
of my administration".
On debt cancellation the Americans promised not
merely 100% cancellation, but also additional
funding to ensure that the World Bank does
not lose out over cancelled interest payments.
America had been insisting the World Bank was
recompensed through cuts in aid programmes
to Africa. Now it will provide additional cash.
President Bush told a White House press conference:
"We agree that highly indebted developing
countries that are on the path to reform should
not be burdened by mountains of debt. Our countries
are developing a proposal for the G8 that will
eliminate 100% of that debt and that by providing
additional resources will preserve the financial
integrity of the World Bank and the Africa
Development Bank."
He omitted any mention of the debt owed to the
IMF since America is opposing the British proposal
of funding the cancellation by the revaluation
of IMF gold reserves.
Mr Bush insisted he would not lift aid to a fixed
formula but said he had already tripled aid.
He added: "We have got a fantastic opportunity
presuming the countries in Africa make the
right decisions. Nobody wants to give money
to a country that's corrupt, where leaders
take money and put it in their pocket. We expect
there to be reciprocation."
Mr Blair also stressed the proposed $25bn extra
aid was not a figure taken out of the air.
He said, in comments designed to attract the
president, that over the coming weeks the cash
could be allocated "on the basis of an
analysis of what Africa needs".
He listed areas such as malaria, Aids, peace
enforcement and education. It is possible the
American extra aid cash will not go through
multilateral institutions but through funds
set up in Washington along the lines of their
existing anti-Aids programme.
Mr Blair also stressed, like President Bush,
that the aid was not unconditional. He said:
"We require the African leadership to
be prepared to make a commitment on governance
against corruption in favour of democracy.
"What we're not going to do is waste our
country's money."
President Bush bridled at suggestions that America
would not provide any extra aid cash. He said:
"We've got a lot of big talkers. What
I'd like to say is my administration actually
does what we say we're going to do."
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